Milder Air Settles Over the East as the West Trends Cooler and Wetter

For November 19th to 23rd, warmer than normal temperatures are favored across most of the country east of the Rockies, with the best chances greater than 80 percent over the Great Lakes region. Odds are lower across parts of the Southeast and Gulf Coast. Cooler than normal temperatures are more likely over most of the West. In Alaska, warmer than normal conditions are likely over much of the state, with the greatest confidence across the eastern Mainland. Hawaii favors warmer than normal readings on the Big Island and near normal temperatures elsewhere. Overall forecast confidence is good.

During November 19th to 23rd, wetter than normal conditions are favored from California through much of the Rockies into the Plains and Mississippi Valley. There is some uncertainty about the exact path of any storm systems, which could leave the Upper Mississippi Valley drier if the track stays farther south. Drier than normal weather is more likely across the Northeast and portions of the Northwest. Alaska leans near to below normal in the Southeast and above normal over the Mainland, while Hawaii favors drier than normal conditions. Confidence remains good overall.

Looking at November 21st to 27th, warmer than normal temperatures continue to be favored across most of the eastern United States, with the highest chances exceeding 60 percent over the Great Lakes, Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Odds are reduced over parts of the Southeast and Gulf Coast. Near to cooler than normal temperatures are favored across portions of the Great Basin, Four Corners and Southern Plains. A slight tilt toward warmer than normal temperatures appears along the entire West Coast. Alaska again favors warmer than normal conditions over most of the state, strongest in the eastern Mainland. Hawaii leans warmer on the Big Island, cooler on Kauai, and near normal for the islands in between. Forecast confidence stays good.

For November 21st to 27th, wetter than normal conditions are favored across much of California, while drier than normal weather is more likely over the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies and northern Great Basin. Near normal precipitation is favored across the Four Corners. Wetter than normal chances extend across much of the Plains and Mississippi Valley, with greater than 50 percent odds of above normal amounts from southern Texas into Florida. The Northeast leans near to wetter than normal. Alaska favors near normal in the Southeast and near to above normal over much of the Mainland, while Hawaii continues to lean drier than normal. Confidence remains good overall.