High Chances of Above-Normal Warmth Across Northern Rockies and Plains Mid-November

Looking ahead to November 9th to 13th, temperatures are likely to be warmer than normal across the West compared to what is typical for this time of year. There is a better than 80 percent chance of above-normal warmth across the Northern Rockies, the Northern Plains, and the Upper Mississippi Valley. Near-normal temperatures are favored over most of the Eastern Seaboard and much of the Southeast. In Alaska, warmer than normal conditions are likely in the eastern areas, while near to below normal temperatures are more likely from the Aleutians to western Mainland Alaska. Hawaii is expected to see above-normal temperatures. Confidence in this temperature outlook is above average.

For November 9th to 13th, an active pattern is expected across much of the western and southwestern United States, eastern Mainland Alaska, and Southeast Alaska. Probabilities of above-normal precipitation exceed 60 percent across northern and central portions of the West Coast. Above-normal precipitation is also favored in parts of southern Florida. Near to below normal precipitation is favored over the remainder of the contiguous United States. A slight tilt toward below normal precipitation is indicated for parts of western Mainland Alaska. For Hawaii, near normal precipitation is favored for the Big Island, while below normal is slightly favored over Maui, Oahu, and Kauai. Confidence in this precipitation outlook is above average.

For November 11th to 17th, above-normal temperatures are favored across the contiguous United States compared to typical conditions for the season. The highest confidence, with a greater than 80 percent chance of warmer than normal weather, is indicated for parts of the Northern and Central Plains and portions of the Upper Mississippi Valley. Eastern Alaska is likely to see above-normal temperatures, while near to below normal temperatures are favored from the western Mainland to the Aleutians. Hawaii should continue with above-normal temperatures. Confidence in this temperature outlook is above average.

During November 11th to 17th, an active pattern is likely across much of the western and south-central United States as well as eastern Alaska. Probabilities of above-normal precipitation exceed 50 percent over most of California and parts of southwestern Nevada and western Arizona. Above-normal precipitation is modestly favored across parts of the Southeast. Increased chances of near to below normal precipitation are favored across the remainder of the contiguous United States. A tilt toward below normal precipitation is indicated for parts of western Mainland Alaska. Near to below normal precipitation is favored for Hawaii. Confidence in this precipitation outlook is above average.