Heavy Texas Rain Thursday with Warm East and Wetter West into Next Week

The weather pattern from Thursday through early next week features a storm system parked over the Northwest that helps deepen unsettled conditions across the West. Moisture will stream into Texas for potentially heavy rain early in the period before shifting east, while the West sees increasing chances for precipitation later. Computer forecasts agree well on the overall setup through Saturday but show more differences over the weekend on exact timing and placement, so later details may still shift a bit.

Heavy rainfall is likely for portions of Texas especially on Thursday as tropical moisture streams in. South-central and west-central areas look most favored for the heavier amounts, with a risk of excessive rainfall focused on parts of the Hill Country into the eastern Big Bend that day. Rain and thunderstorms will continue into Friday before the pattern begins to ease eastward.

Rain and thunderstorms are expected across the southern Plains later this week as the moisture and storminess advance. The focus starts in Texas and gradually shifts east. Impacts will center on wet roads and the potential for locally heavy downpours rather than widespread severe weather.

The rainy and stormy pattern will move across the southeastern United States into the weekend. Florida can expect scattered showers and thunderstorms that form mainly during the day. Travelers and residents should watch for brief heavy rain and possible localized flooding in the wetter spots.

Rounds of rain are forecast across the north-central United States through the period. Amounts should stay generally modest. Daily plans may need minor adjustments for wet conditions at times, but significant disruptions look unlikely.

Precipitation is expected across the Pacific Northwest on Thursday underneath the storm system overhead. Conditions should remain unsettled as cooler air holds over the region. Mountain travel could see some impacts from the rain and higher-elevation snow.

Coverage of precipitation will increase across the Intermountain West by Friday, with localized heavy rain possible in the Southwest. Over the weekend Pacific moisture will broaden the chances for rain and mountain snow across the West. Exact amounts and snow levels remain uncertain because the upper-level flow details are still settling, so forecasts may continue to adjust.

Well above average temperatures are expected across portions of the central and eastern United States from day to day. Highs in the 70s may reach as far north as the Upper Great Lakes region, with 80s into the Mid-Mississippi Valley on Thursday—roughly 15 to 20 degrees above normal. Above-normal warmth should continue from the Plains eastward through early next week while the West stays somewhat cooler than average.